👀 Investing at All-Time Highs

& 8.3 million Americans are working 2 jobs...?

Together with Preserve Gold

Good morning,

A quick breakdown — in case you just don’t have the time.

  1. The S&P 500 hit all-time-highs, adjusted for inflation.

  2. Your savings rate is more important than your rate of return.

  3. 8.3 million Americans are working multiple jobs.

  4. Credit card delinquencies are trending higher.

  5. Elon Musk might ban Apple devices at his companies.

  6. Automatically buy stocks where you shop with Grifin.

Market Overview

As of market close 6/12/2024

Chart of the Week

@CalebFranzen on X.com

The S&P 500 Index adjusted for inflation — and as you can see, we’ve officially made new all-time-highs!

There’s been a lot of chatter recently during our Instagram and TikTok livestreams stating “We’re headed back down!” or “Watch out below! The stock market is going to crash.” In our humble opinion, this couldn’t be further from the truth.

Will we see modest and healthy pullbacks? Of course.

But to think new all time highs, even after you adjust for record-high inflation, is bearish is quite silly. We want to encourage each and every one of you to invest for probability, not anomaly. Last week’s newsletter showed just how common returns in the S&P 500 above +12% were dating back to 1926 — lean into this as an investor.

Personal finance is personal, but if you’re in the “wealth building” stage of your investing journey — there’s no reason to be afraid and sit on the sidelines.

If there’s something we’re always preaching to the Rich Habit community — it’s that diversification really does matter. Investing in precious metals like Gold and Silver can help hedge economic uncertainty and market downturns — especially when you see the amount of demand that comes from Central Banks:

During and after the last three recessions (2001, 2007, and 2020) — gold rose significantly. Since the U.S. Dollar abandoned the gold standard — there’s been a -87% decline in the U.S. dollar’s purchasing power. As former Chair of the Federal Reserve Alan Greenspan once famously remarked, “In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation.”

Gold price appreciation since 1993

Visit PreserveGold.com to learn more about their Precious Metals IRA or to get the free Gold and Silver investment guide!

*Preserve Gold is a paid sponsor of the Rich Habits Newsletter

In Case You Missed It…

In this week’s episode of the Rich Habits podcast (linked here) — Robert and Austin touched on the following:

  1. Reinvest Your Dividends — don’t make the mistake of letting your hard-earned dividends just sit in your brokerage account. Make sure you turn on your “DRIP” settings, as 75% of the total return of the S&P 500 since inception has come from dividend reinvestments.

  2. Savings Rate vs. Rate of Return — if you’re building your base ($50-100K) optimizing your savings rate is much more important than your rate of return.

  3. Free Cash Flow vs. Profits — as you begin to diversify your portfolio by including single stocks, it’s important to keep an eye on their “free cash flow,” and not just their “profits.” As Austin always says, if you can predict the cash flow you can predict the stock price.

We try our hardest to introduce important financial topics in a way that’s easy and fun to understand, however, this week’s episode was a bit more technical. We love challenging you all with these in-the-weeds topics — because what’s more important than learning how to secure your financial future?

During this week’s Q&A episode posted this morning — we answered questions from Tom S, Josh S, David G, Jeff, John W, Eric F, and Hanin A.

We prioritize questions via Instagram DMs — if you’re not yet following us, be sure to follow here! Thanks for keeping all of the great Qs rolling in!

Robert’s Callout

The number of people holding multiple jobs recently hit record highs.

This is very telling. At the moment, over 8.3 million Americans are working two or more jobs. Sometimes this is for good reason, like paying off debt or generating extra income to invest — things we encourage! But most of the time these Americans are working multiple jobs just to make ends meet.

If you tuned into the Federal Reserve’s meeting on Wednesday, you might recall Jerome Powell stating “Payroll jobs are still coming in strong, even though there’s an argument that they may be overstated.

The Chairman of the Federal Reserve is hinting toward the idea that the underlying economy, specifically the job data being reported, isn’t truthful. This is why, despite seeing all-time-highs in the S&P 500, things still feel weird. The job market still feels tight. Your neighbor or your cousin still lost their job.

If we dig a bit deeper we find the above data — over the last 12 months nearly 1.2 million Americans lost their full-time jobs, while 1.5 million Americans took up part-time roles. Again, there’s nothing bearish about all-time-highs in the stock market — but the underlying economy remains in a weird place.

Austin’s Callout

The percent of credit card balance going delinquent is rising.

Robert’s callout above pairs nicely with mine — both the number of people who are 90+ days late paying toward their credit card balances as well as 30+ days delinquent is rising rapidly.

These statistics are alarming. The American consumer is getting squeezed as the Federal Reserve’s neck-breaking speed of raising interest rates in 2022 and 2023 continue to ripple through the American economy.

Some consumers are beginning to optimize their monthly budgets. For example, Target has now reported four straight quarters of declining comparable sales — forcing the company to cut prices on 5,000+ SKUs to keep shoppers coming back.

Remember, if you’re in high-interest credit card debt stop investing and pay it off! Heck, sell the investments in your taxable brokerage account and pay it off — you can’t out-invest 30% high interest credit card debt.

The Rich Habits Radar

  • 👉 OpenAI’s annualized revenue has doubled to $3.4B.

  • 👉 The Federal Reserve is projecting only one rate cut in 2024.

  • 👉 Apple hosted WWDC 2024, AI took center stage.

  • 👉 Elon Musk threatened to ban Apple devices from his companies.

  • 👉 Broadcom announced a 10-for-1 stock split.

  • 👉 Citigroup projects 2025 to be a “down year” for oil.

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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice or recommendation for any investment. The content is for informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.